A. David McGuire


  • Euskirchen, Eugénie S., et al. “Assessing Dynamic Vegetation Model Parameter Uncertainty across Alaskan Arctic Tundra Plant Communities”. Ecological Applications, 2021, https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2499.


  • Euskirchen, Eugénie S., et al. “Co‐producing Knowledge: The Integrated Ecosystem Model for Resource Management in Arctic Alaska”. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, vol. 18, no. 1, 2020, pp. 447-55, https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2176.
  • Lara, Mark J., et al. “Local-Scale Arctic Tundra Heterogeneity Affects Regional-Scale Carbon Dynamics”. Nature Communications, vol. 11, no. 1, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18768-z.
  • Andresen, Christian G., et al. “Soil Moisture and Hydrology Projections of the Permafrost Region – a Model Intercomparison”. The Cryosphere, vol. 14, no. 2, 2020, pp. 445-59, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020.


  • McGuire, David, et al. “Dependence of the Evolution of Carbon Dynamics in the Northern Permafrost Region on the Trajectory of Climate Change”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 115, no. 15, 2018, pp. 3882-7, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1719903115.
  • Lara, Mark J., et al. “Reduced Arctic Tundra Productivity Linked With Landform and Climate Change Interactions”. Scientific Reports, vol. 8, no. 1, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20692-8.
  • Lara, Mark J., et al. “Tundra Landform and Vegetation Productivity Trend Maps for the Arctic Coastal Plain of Northern Alaska”. Scientific Data, vol. 5, 2018, p. 180058, https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.58.


  • Olefeldt, David, et al. “Circumpolar Distribution and Carbon Storage of Thermokarst Landscapes”. Nature Communications, vol. 7, 2016, p. 13043, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms13043.
  • Euskirchen, Eugénie S., et al. “Consequences of Changes in Vegetation and Snow Cover for Climate Feedbacks in Alaska and Northwest Canada”. Environmental Research Letters, vol. 11, no. 10, 2016, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105003.
  • McGuire, David, et al. “Variability in the Sensitivity Among Model Simulations of Permafrost and Carbon Dynamics in the Permafrost Region Between 1960 and 2009”. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, vol. 30, no. 7, 2016, pp. 1015-37, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GB005405.


  • Treat, Claire C., et al. “A Pan-Arctic Synthesis of Methane and Carbon Dioxide Production from Anoxic Soil Incubations”. Global Change Biology, vol. 21, no. 7, 2015, pp. 2787-03, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12875.
  • Koven, Charles D., et al. “A Simplified, Data-Constrained Approach to Estimate the Permafrost carbon–climate Feedback”. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, vol. 373, no. 2054, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0423.
  • Schuur, Edward A.G., et al. “Climate Change and the Permafrost Carbon Feedback”. Nature, vol. 520, no. 7546, 2015, pp. 171-9, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14338.
  • Lara, Mark J., et al. “Polygonal Tundra Geomorphological Change in Response to Warming Alters Future Carbon Dioxide and Methane Flux on the Barrow Peninsula”. Global Change Biology, vol. 21, 2015, pp. 1634-51, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12757.
  • Lara, Mark J., et al. “Polygonal Tundra Geomorphological Change in Response to Warming Alters Future CO2 and CH4 Flux on the Barrow Peninsula”. Global Change Biology, vol. 21, no. 4, 2015, pp. 1634-51, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12757.
  • Iversen, Colleen M., et al. “The Unseen Iceberg: Plant Roots in Arctic Tundra”. New Phytologist, vol. 205, no. 1, 2015, pp. 34-58, https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.13003.


  • Hayes, Daniel J., et al. “The Impacts of Recent Permafrost Thaw on land–atmosphere Greenhouse Gas Exchange”. Environmental Research Letters, vol. 9, no. 4, 2014, p. 045005, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/045005.


  • Hinzman, Larry D., et al. “Trajectory of the Arctic As an Integrated System”. Ecological Applications, vol. 23, no. 8, 2013, pp. 1837-68, https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1498.1.


  • McGuire, David, et al. “An Assessment of the Carbon Balance of Arctic Tundra: Comparisons Among Observations, Process Models, and Atmospheric Inversions”. Biogeosciences, vol. 9, no. 8, 2012, pp. 3185-04, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3185-201210.5194/bg-9-3185-2012-supplement.